2 Spot, Pala Casino 400: Fontana Picks, Odds & Race Preview, Daytona 500 Picks, Predictions, and Race Preview, Duel at Daytona Odds, Picks, & Predictions: Setting the Grid for Sunday, March 2023 Sports Calendar: Let the Madness Begin. Im instead opting for Almirolas +500 odds, and heres why. Fantasy Live has a new Bonus Picks section this year. With these strong finishes and extremely good price, every team owner should consider adding Brian Vickers to their team. Anybody who has followed his picks has seen huge returns. Kyle Busch is looking for back-to-back wins early in this NASCAR campaign, and sportsbooks like him to do so, Given his recent form and underlying metrics, Reddick would be a steal at his listed NASCAR DFS price tags. In the race, Reddick made an unexpected pit stop on lap 25 for a tire issue, and then later on lap 143 he had contact with Preece which damaged the #8. Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Pala Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. The question is, what is his upside? That said, Buschs afternoon wasnt incident free. ET, USA). (MA), Arnold Palmer Invitational Top PGA DFS Picks, Values and Sleepers for Large-Field GPPs on DraftKings, PGA DFS: Top Cash Game Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Stats Preview: Course Fits, GPP Picks, and Values, PGA Models: FantasyLabs PGA Perfect% and SimLeverage, FanDuel Promo Code: Grab a $1K First Bet for Wednesdays CBB, NBA Action, DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks for Michigan: Fantasy NASCAR Strategy for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400. Consider donating to support byclicking here. I view Kansas as the most similar track, and at that venue he finished 2nd, led 29 laps and had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking. This gives a better idea of how quick a driver and car really are and the top two drivers, Clint Bowyer and Mark Martin, both found there way into the top 10 on race day. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. The rest of the drivers are all in play this week. I've been a serious Fantasy NASCAR player for over 10 years now, and I'm just getting started. Since my brain works more in tournament mode, though, I actually like the 2nd-best lineup (according to my projections) a little more, and that one is: Kyle Larson, Chase Elliott, Christopher Bell, Austin Dillon, Tyler Reddick, and Anthony Alfredo. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. Fantasy Racing Tips is not affiliated with, maintained, endorsed or sponsored by NASCAR. Kyle Busch rode into the Winner's Circle last weekend, and sportsbooks are tabbing him as the pre-race favorite to do so again at this week's Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. He is also one of the cheaper drivers with a cost of only 16.4, and adding Vickers allows for a little more room to spend on your third and fourth driver. ET . document.getElementById("comment").setAttribute( "id", "a29234cc541813c362a6ef1216053161" );document.getElementById("fe53143262").setAttribute( "id", "comment" ); Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. The Michigan State Spartans (17-10, 9-7 Big Ten) and Iowa Hawkeyes (17-11, 9-8) meet Saturday at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City. Reddick will start from back in 14th for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400, but has legitimate top 10 finishing potential (and will be pushing a little harder with the Playoffs on the line these next two races). The NASCAR Cup Series will make a trip to Michigan International Speedway Sunday. ET Fantasy Football. Also factored in are projected laps led and fastest laps for each driver. Bell could be a little underused in tournaments because his practice times werent the best. Michigan has been on of Vickers best tracks, with the last three races resulting in three top 10s, including one win and an AFP of 6.67. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan International Speedway. Coleman Hawkins was the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds. The talk of the weekend is how the Toyotas dominated practice and qualifying, but for DFS purposes we need to extend beyond the Toyotas and look at the whole field. 2-Headed Monster: Is Kyle Busch Still Viewed as NASCARs Villain? WebNASCAR Fantasy Live is the only NASCAR fantasy game to offer live scoring! These are the potential dominators for Sundays race at Michigan, and are listed in the order of likelihood according to my projections: Some surprise dominators that could happen on Sunday include: Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and William Byron. Michigan International Speedway is a huge 2-mile track that produces some very high speeds heading into the corners, but theres really not a lot of action going on on the track outside of the restarts, so it can be a little boring (and usually has just one car dominating most of the day). Alex Bowman 3. He led 23 laps on the way to the victory. Blaney my wifes bet on Ricky Stenhouse to win the Daytona 500 at 40-1 NASCAR odds, translates to an implied probability of 51.22%. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from This is race As someone who has always been obsessed with numbers, Fantasy NASCAR has been the perfect fit with me. The emotion of Well, he just cant be this bad runs into the statistical evidence that Well, yes, he can.. If Larson carries the momentum over from last year, he should be fast right off the bat this weekend. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Rest of Jordans Card Kyle Busch Top 5 Finish (+115) See notes above on Kyle Busch and head on over to BetRivers to grab this at +115 odds. Top 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 NASCAR DFS picks For NASCAR at Michigan, McClure is high on Kyle Busch ($10,500 on DraftKings and $13,500 on We have some tracks that are coming up on the schedule that I think we should win. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points per game. These times can be a tricky thing to sift through at times, but once you find what you are looking for, they can be extremely useful. Still, this is another race to play DraftKings Daily Fantasy Sports, so of course us degenerates are going to be interested and watching closely on Sunday. Michigan has long been a great track for Busch, and in 2022 at high-speed intermediate tracks where theres correlation, Busch has been fast and has been a contender to win the last three races. Austin Dillon 5. Michigan Fantasy Rankings 1) Kyle Larson (Starting 1st) Michigan Bottom Line At Michigan, the road to victory lane will go thru Kyle Larson. Jones also won at Darlington last fall after Busch and Truex had engine trouble. This is a very safe cash lineup to use, in my opinion. Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway. This week, Carl Edwards and Jimmie Johnson are both at 7/1, so picking either of these two drivers as your lead driver could be seen as the safe pick. He has three runner-up finishes on the track and -- along with Erik Jones -- is one of two Michigan natives who will be competing. Below we detail a NASCAR pick at 5-1 odds with value for Sunday's race at Auto Club Speedway. Hamlin should be a good pick at Michigan. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling: If you or a loved one is experiencing problems with gambling and needs support, The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. Get more NASCAR DFS advice here. Your email address will not be published. Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the NASCAR at Michigan odds followed by Kyle Larson (6-1) and Chase Elliott (13-2). Otherwise, he likely would have had a good finish. The following are a couple of DFS lineups I plan to play in GPP contests. At the other high-speed intermediate tracks visited this year, Reddick has shown speed and has results of 6th (Charlotte), 7th (Las Vegas) and 30th (Kansas, looked like a top five contender until he got into the wall). Erik Jones ($7,700)Career at Auto Club: 5 starts, 0 wins, 1 top five, 3 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 10.2. 2022 TOP 200 Fantasy Football Rankings, TOP 200 PPR Cheatsheets TOP 200 PPR Draft / Draft Rankings We are working hard to bring you all the info you'll need for your fantasy NASCAR league. With one Michigan victory already under his belt in 2011, Busch is still experiencing only successes at the D-shaped oval track. Thats a good effort for him. Kyle Larson is the defending winner, going to victory lane after a tight battle with his teammate Chase Elliott. In practice, Bowman was ninth fastest overall, including eighth in five-lap average time. It only takes one poor finish to ruin your week in fantasy NASCAR, and by steering clear of Ryan Newman, this should help your chances of avoiding a poor finish. Hamlin posted the third-fastest speed in practice and qualified ninth for the race. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points In 2022 over the combined races at high-speed intermediate tracks (Auto Club, Las Vegas Kansas and Charlotte), Larson has a series best 3.5 average finish, the best driver rating and his Track Type Total Speed Ranking is the 4th best. Tyler Reddick 5. The NASCAR Cup Series schedule continues on Sunday with the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. It can be tricky picking the right five drivers each week, but I thought I could offer some advice for tips and drivers to use for this weeks race in Michigan. Daytona 500 Betting Odds, Picks, Predictions. The winner on the racetrack tallies 45 points, while second place gets 42, third 41 and so on. Of those, I view Kansas to be the single most similar track and at that venue in addition to finishing 3rd, Busch had the best Total Speed Ranking. Tip-off is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). Larson is a three-time winner at Michigan and Hendrick Motorsports has had the strongest cars all season. Try it out! And then the third table is the last four races of data from here at Michigan specifically. All of the driver values come from the league run by ESPN. 20 car is just another fast Toyota this weekend. The starting lineup would be set by the rulebook if qualifying gets rained out, which is likely the metric formula used predominantly in 2020. Daniel Suarez 6. Reddick notched his second career Cup Series victory last week at the Indy Road Course. At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. 10 Smithfield Ford ranked second in average running position (behind Jones) among drivers in this group at high tire wear races in 2022, which, combined with the best average finish, suggests he should be shorter than the other two drivers listed at +500 and priced closer to Jones. call 1-800-327-5050 or visit https://helplinema.org to speak with a trained specialist free and confidentially 24/7. We might get two, but with Kyle Larson on the pole this weekend, it could very well be a one-dominator build. The Preview Show crew predicts the top fantasy picks and bad bets at Michigan International Speedway. The NASCAR season continues on Sunday with the 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. Get a preview of the field with our Pennzoil 400 odds, and be sure to check back later in the week for a full race preview and, Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview, NASCAR Cup Series Odds: Busch Makes First Move, Climbs Into No. It might also reward your DraftKings account if he finishes well and records fastest laps. Gambling Problem? You could also go Ryan Blaney instead of Chase Elliott in that second lineup spot. On a good day, Alfredo will post a top 25. I would be surprised to see him finish this afternoon outside of the top 10. To view this ifantasyrace advantage content log in or join the site, Top Tier Elite Picks > Front Runners Rankings > Mid Pack Predictions > The Low Tier, Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window), FanDuel Las Vegas #2 2022 NASCAR Driver Points. The Cup Series visits Auto Club just once per season, meaning teams havent raced here in a year a race that was also the first at an intermediate track in the Next Gen car. They look at their drivers and see one or two allocations left and they think, I am low on allocations with that driver, I need to save him. Do not do that!!! 1. Grab This Top 10 Prop Bet For The NASCAR Race At Daytona 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown (Coke Watkins Glen NASCAR Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order (Go Bowling At The Watkins Glen DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Go Bowling Michigan is a 2-mile race track. Elliott is a legitimate top 5 threat on Sunday and if he can just pick up a handful of dominator points along the way, hes going to be worth taking the risk on in DraftKings at just $9,200 salary. Tyler Reddick ($9,100)Career at Auto Club: 2 starts, 0 wins, 0 top fives, 0 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 17.5. This is kind of like looking at the qualifying speeds, but I find that the practice speeds are a more valuable tool. At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. 0 of 7. Perhaps most surprisingly, Cole Custer ($6200)hung right with his teammates in practice times, making him a very sneaky tournament play. While my model pegs him at about 20% usage, I believe the model is overstating that by several percentage points. The 2023 NASCAR Cup Series' Pala Casino 400 at Auto Club Speedway goes green on Sunday, Feb. 26. Hes low enough salary-wise that he should hit value if he earns a good result on Sunday. ET, FOX) at Auto Club Speedway, Im taking a very conservative approach for three key reasons: As a result, Im essentially sitting out of Sundays race at Auto Club except for the following group bet thats posted at Caesars Sportsbook. While he won twice at road courses last year, he also won at Texas Motor Speedway, surviving the flat-tire plagued race. Copyright 2023 Action Network Inc, All Rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | AdChoices. Ill note, Larson did have a hiccup along the way. Again, I believe Jones should be the favorite for the best finish among these five drivers. Aric Almirola: +500. ET Fantasy Football. As far as Michigan goes, Jones record is decent: a career average finish of 15.5 over six career starts and only one top 10a 3rd-place finish back in 2017. The No. This slate locks on 2/26/23 at 3:45 p.m. Try selecting a different location. Coleman Hawkins was the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds. Jones was the best driver in the four races at Auto Club, Darlington and Homestead, which are universally known for their high tire wear, in 2022, but it was actually Almirola who posted the best average finish of the group in these races. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Michigan State vs. Iowa game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. Get a preview of the field with our Pennzoil 400 odds, and be sure to check back later in the week for a full race preview andbetting picks. Kyle Larson is on the pole for this weekends race with his teammate, Chase Elliott, slated to start 2nd. Chase Elliott ($9,200) My projections really like Chase Elliott this weekend, and even though its pretty uncomfortable to put together a DraftKings lineup with both front row starters on it, that strategy could definitely work out this weekend at Michigan. That does not mean anything if the Cup Series has another first-time winner. He will start in 16th position, leaving all of us in a strange DFS limbo. Ryan Blaney ($9300):Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. His average finish at Michigan (5.4) is eight spots better than his average start (13.4) dating back to 2019. In spring 2019, Larson finished 14th, but I thought he was better than his result. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. Michigan is usually a pretty green race, so well likely see about 160 green flag laps, which would equal 72 possible DraftKings FPTS for fastest laps. Turning my attention to NASCAR odds for Sundays Pala Casino 400 (3:30 p.m. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, Tyler Reddick has a less than appealing track record but on Sunday, look for him to be a contender. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. All photos and statistics are used with permission from NASCAR Media Group. Wallace was the only driver to go above 190 mph in the final round of qualifying. ET on Sunday. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. Do not worry about allocations anymore. 6-keys: media/spln/nascar/reg/free/stories, at With an AFP this poor and a cost of 23.1, Newman would just a poor place to invest almost one-fourth of your budget. In 2020 #2, Busch started 16th, but he had no trouble advancing in the running order en route to his 4th place finish. Hamlin runs up front and scores very well in Fantasy Live one week and then he looks like complete garbage the next week. At Michigan, it is incredibly difficult to pass the leader, so its hard to imagine Larson not dominating at least the first half of the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday afternoon. Reddick will once again be up against the wall scoring Stage Points. Some teams will be racing for points to improve their playoff position, while others know they need a win in these final four races or their playoff dreams will be over. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. Over the past three races at Michigan, Smoke has had an AFP of 6.0, and when his price is 22.4, it is hard not to put the two-time champion on your team. Add in his fast practice and qualifying times, and we have a nice contrarian play to Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin. As the early NASCAR Cup Series odds begin to evolve, Busch could make a serious statement with a second win in as many weeks, and with Top-5 finishes in this race each of the past two years, it's certainly within his grasp. But now hes with Richard Childress Racing, and this race will be key to know how quickly he and his team can gel, especially if practice and qualifying rain out. Kyle Larson And, as always, good luck! Now for the video breakdown! That could be a perfect slot to provide value with a great chance of winning Or it can be a DFS wasteland where he doesnt move at all. Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview. Usually the scheduled is filled with 1.5 and 2-mile ovals, but NASCAR decided to replace Kentucky, Chicago and California with road courses. William Byron 3. This chart measures speed by segments in each race. Last year, Reddicks race wasnt incident free, and he finished an asterisk mark 29th. In race #1 2020, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, 6th in Stage #2, had a 6.6 average running position, recorded the 5th best Total Speed Ranking and then finished 5th overall. Michigan has been a stellar track for Larson and on Sunday, look for him to finish in the top five and compete for the win. Despite sitting in 11th place in NASCAR standings, Reddick's Fantasy production indicates he's an elite driver. On the right side, theyre bringing the same tires that were used in the Kansas and Las Vegas races this year. WebAug 5, 2022 63 Dislike Share Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice 77.6K subscribers Top 5 NASCAR Cup FireKeepers Casino 400 Fantasy picks and predictions. In the race, Reddick finished 8th in Stage #2, had an 11.6 average running position and was running right around 8th until he got loose in front of Joey Logano during a restart on lap 186 which caused a multi-car wreck. August 6, 2022 DFS Racing Picks. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, Tyler Reddick has a less than appealing track record but on Sunday, look for him to be a contender. The FireKeepers Casino 400 takes place this weekend at Michigan International Speedway and Matt Selz gives you a preview of the races with odds, DFS Strategy, and predictions. Now, RCR isnt as strong as the other teams, but it does have some wins in recent years. And yes, Id be remiss if I failed to disclose that my wifes bet on Ricky Stenhouse to win the Daytona 500 at 40-1 NASCAR odds did most of my bankrolls heavy-lifting. ET. : The Black Cat Auto Club Mystery Thats NASCARs Latest Animal Encounter, Reel Racing: The Evolution of Motorsports Films Across Disciplines, NASCAR Announces New Rules Package for Short Tracks, Road Courses, Dropping the Hammer: NASCARs Days of Future Past. The FireKeepers Casino 400 can be seen Sunday at 3 p.m. Bell can win this race. One of the races is on a road course and the other is at Daytona. In Michigan race #1 2020, Reddick didnt have an incident free race, but came home 18th. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. Read his daily fantasy NASCAR advice and Xfinity sleepers. This slate locks on 2/26/23 at 3:45 p.m. Larson hasnt visited victory lane since February, but that was at Auto Club, the one other big 2.0-mile high-speed intermediate track on the schedule. Stay tuned for full race analysis and best bets coming later this week! Dillon/Suarez as well with Alex Bowman rounding it out. 16 Kaulig Racing driver has a pair of eighth-place finishes while running for JTG, in 2014 and 2016. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. Youll get to compete against me and some of my colleagues. Fantasy sports are one of the most popular activities among sports fans, and NASCAR has it own fun Ill note, he spent some time running in the top five and legitimately ran as high as 2nd.
